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UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100DownDownUpUpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$3.33
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares89
Combined PnL-$3.33
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $1.86 | — | -$1.86 | 63% 52240-31232 (83472) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 5.4¢ | $1.47 | — | -$1.47 | 56% 58403-45070 (103473) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 89.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 125846-67348 (193194) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 94.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 71362-54385 (125747) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 11.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 66% 112365-59078 (171443) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.86
Value
—
PnL
-$1.86
Record
63%
52240-31232 (83472)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100Invested
$1.47
Value
—
PnL
-$1.47
Record
56%
58403-45070 (103473)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
125846-67348 (193194)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
71362-54385 (125747)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
112365-59078 (171443)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2a756449...3668a7
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793472000