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Up
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100DownDownUpUpUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Resolved Up. 29% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 67%
Total Value
$5
Combined PnL
-$4.26
Smart Money Signal
Down
2 of 7 top traders (29%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up5 traders
Total Value$5
Total Shares5
Combined PnL+$0.15
Down2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares41
Combined PnL-$4.41
Up — 71%Down — 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | $4.85 | $5 | +$0.15 | 52% 90910-85451 (176361) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 5¢ | $1.81 | — | -$1.81 | 63% 52240-31232 (83472) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $2.6 | — | -$2.6 | 58% 51198-37322 (88520) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 89.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 125846-67348 (193194) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 60.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 71362-54385 (125747) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 34.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 66% 112365-59078 (171443) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 23¢ | — | — | +$0 | 66% 126575-65169 (191744) |
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$4.85
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.15
Record
52%
90910-85451 (176361)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.81
Value
—
PnL
-$1.81
Record
63%
52240-31232 (83472)
PB
PBot-6CTR<$100Invested
$2.6
Value
—
PnL
-$2.6
Record
58%
51198-37322 (88520)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
125846-67348 (193194)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
71362-54385 (125747)
AN
antsaslyku<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
112365-59078 (171443)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
126575-65169 (191744)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x58369694...3f608d
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793471400