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MayorMamdani<$100DownDownDown
BoneOhio<$100DownUp
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Up
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Down 67%
Total Value
$303.18
Combined PnL
$69.34
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$303.18
Total Shares303
Combined PnL+$78.58
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares33
Combined PnL-$9.24
Down — 67%Up — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 64.3¢ | $63.8 | $99.29 | +$35.49 | 55% 45436-37823 (83259) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 72.1¢ | $122.07 | $169.33 | +$47.25 | 57% 71206-54306 (125512) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $31.23 | $27 | -$4.23 | 52% 90814-85344 (176158) |
BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $7.49 | $7.57 | +$0.08 | 74% 102799-36473 (139272) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $3.22 | — | -$3.22 | 66% 126437-65111 (191548) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 23.3¢ | $6.02 | — | -$6.02 | 63% 52187-31091 (83278) |
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$63.8
Value
$99.29
PnL
+$35.49
Record
55%
45436-37823 (83259)
UN
uninformedflowwInvested
$122.07
Value
$169.33
PnL
+$47.25
Record
57%
71206-54306 (125512)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$31.23
Value
$27
PnL
-$4.23
Record
52%
90814-85344 (176158)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$7.49
Value
$7.57
PnL
+$0.08
Record
74%
102799-36473 (139272)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$3.22
Value
—
PnL
-$3.22
Record
66%
126437-65111 (191548)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$6.02
Value
—
PnL
-$6.02
Record
63%
52187-31091 (83278)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8a3914d5...d176b4
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793462700