Back to Markets
Up
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Up
MayorMamdani<$100DownDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$61.09
Combined PnL
-$113.14
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares179
Combined PnL-$113.56
Down2 traders
Total Value$61.09
Total Shares61
Combined PnL+$0.41
Up — 60%Down — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Upavg 66.1¢ | $109.59 | — | -$109.59 | 57% 71206-54306 (125512) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 2.2¢ | $1.67 | — | -$1.67 | 63% 52187-31091 (83278) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $56.68 | $56 | -$0.68 | 55% 45436-37823 (83259) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 54¢ | $4 | $5.09 | +$1.09 | 52% 90814-85344 (176158) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 23¢ | $2.3 | — | -$2.3 | 66% 126437-65111 (191548) |
UN
uninformedflowwCTRInvested
$109.59
Value
—
PnL
-$109.59
Record
57%
71206-54306 (125512)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.67
Value
—
PnL
-$1.67
Record
63%
52187-31091 (83278)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$56.68
Value
$56
PnL
-$0.68
Record
55%
45436-37823 (83259)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$4
Value
$5.09
PnL
+$1.09
Record
52%
90814-85344 (176158)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$2.3
Value
—
PnL
-$2.3
Record
66%
126437-65111 (191548)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x1b4ba9b5...035695
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793462100