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Down
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Up
MayorMamdani<$100Down
ohioismCTR<$100UpDownDown
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Down 67%
Total Value
$127.71
Combined PnL
$18.58
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$127.71
Total Shares128
Combined PnL+$21.94
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares68
Combined PnL-$3.36
Down — 67%Up — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 72.9¢ | $47.84 | $65.62 | +$17.78 | 57% 71206-54306 (125512) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 2.9¢ | $1.66 | — | -$1.66 | 63% 52187-31091 (83278) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $45.58 | $46.99 | +$1.41 | 55% 45436-37823 (83259) |
ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 16¢ | $1.7 | — | -$1.7 | 64% 40342-23071 (63413) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $9.8 | $10 | +$0.2 | 52% 90814-85344 (176158) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $2.55 | $5.1 | +$2.55 | 58% 51142-37272 (88414) |
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$47.84
Value
$65.62
PnL
+$17.78
Record
57%
71206-54306 (125512)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.66
Value
—
PnL
-$1.66
Record
63%
52187-31091 (83278)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$45.58
Value
$46.99
PnL
+$1.41
Record
55%
45436-37823 (83259)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$1.7
Value
—
PnL
-$1.7
Record
64%
40342-23071 (63413)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$9.8
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.2
Record
52%
90814-85344 (176158)
PB
PBot-6<$100Invested
$2.55
Value
$5.1
PnL
+$2.55
Record
58%
51142-37272 (88414)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x27a4e2a9...e25791
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793461200