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Up
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100DownDownDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$58.08
Combined PnL
-$4.12
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up1 trader
Total Value$58.08
Total Shares58
Combined PnL+$3.59
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares27
Combined PnL-$7.71
Up — 20%Down — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 80.9¢ | $54.49 | $58.08 | +$3.59 | 57% 71206-54306 (125512) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 13¢ | $1.7 | — | -$1.7 | 55% 45436-37823 (83259) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 40¢ | $2.46 | — | -$2.46 | 66% 126437-65111 (191548) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $2.55 | — | -$2.55 | 58% 51142-37272 (88414) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 40¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 52% 90814-85344 (176158) |
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$54.49
Value
$58.08
PnL
+$3.59
Record
57%
71206-54306 (125512)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.7
Value
—
PnL
-$1.7
Record
55%
45436-37823 (83259)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$2.46
Value
—
PnL
-$2.46
Record
66%
126437-65111 (191548)
PB
PBot-6CTR<$100Invested
$2.55
Value
—
PnL
-$2.55
Record
58%
51142-37272 (88414)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
52%
90814-85344 (176158)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xd34a3760...d2af72
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793460300