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UpandDownSyndromeARB<$100Down
MayorMamdani<$100Up
BoneOhio<$100UpUpUp
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Resolved Up. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
4
Up 100%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$209.33
Combined PnL
$25.93
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 4 top traders (100%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$164.55
Total Shares165
Combined PnL+$25.93
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UpandDownSyndromeARB<$100 | Downavg 4.3¢ | $8.21 | $44.78 | +$36.57 | 63% 52187-31091 (83278) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 4.3¢ | $4.16 | — | -$4.16 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 9¢ | $4.05 | $44.78 | +$40.73 | |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 91.7¢ | $87.82 | $87.74 | -$0.08 | 55% 45436-37823 (83259) |
BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $47.1 | $47.58 | +$0.48 | 74% 102799-36473 (139272) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 12.3¢ | $1.9 | $15.38 | +$13.48 | 52% 90814-85344 (176158) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 13¢ | $1.8 | $13.85 | +$12.05 | 66% 126437-65111 (191548) |
UpandDownSyndromeARB<$100Invested
$8.21
Value
$44.78
PnL
+$36.57
Record
63%
52187-31091 (83278)
Both legs:
Down$4.164.3¢-$4.16
Up$4.059¢+$40.73
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$87.82
Value
$87.74
PnL
-$0.08
Record
55%
45436-37823 (83259)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$47.1
Value
$47.58
PnL
+$0.48
Record
74%
102799-36473 (139272)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$1.9
Value
$15.38
PnL
+$13.48
Record
52%
90814-85344 (176158)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$1.8
Value
$13.85
PnL
+$12.05
Record
66%
126437-65111 (191548)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0721e42f...7bb30e
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793460000