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UpDown
MayorMamdani<$100UpDown
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$114.89
Combined PnL
$3.87
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$114.89
Total Shares115
Combined PnL+$17.38
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares66
Combined PnL-$13.51
Up — 40%Down — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 82.8¢ | $84.48 | $102.09 | +$17.6 | 57% 71206-54306 (125512) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 19.8¢ | $9.01 | — | -$9.01 | 66% 112343-59004 (171347) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 92.4¢ | $13.03 | $12.81 | -$0.22 | 55% 45436-37823 (83259) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 19.1¢ | $2.1 | — | -$2.1 | 66% 126437-65111 (191548) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 24¢ | $2.4 | — | -$2.4 | 63% 52187-31091 (83278) |
UN
uninformedflowwInvested
$84.48
Value
$102.09
PnL
+$17.6
Record
57%
71206-54306 (125512)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$9.01
Value
—
PnL
-$9.01
Record
66%
112343-59004 (171347)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$13.03
Value
$12.81
PnL
-$0.22
Record
55%
45436-37823 (83259)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$2.1
Value
—
PnL
-$2.1
Record
66%
126437-65111 (191548)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$2.4
Value
—
PnL
-$2.4
Record
63%
52187-31091 (83278)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x49664fc5...f2747e
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793457900