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UpDown
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Down
G-Penis-Monster<$100UpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$60.83
Combined PnL
-$10.11
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$60.83
Total Shares61
Combined PnL-$2.72
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares47
Combined PnL-$7.39
Up — 40%Down — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 93.5¢ | $61.15 | $50 | -$11.15 | 57% 71206-54306 (125512) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 8.8¢ | $2.74 | — | -$2.74 | 66% 112343-59004 (171347) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 19¢ | $2.1 | — | -$2.1 | 55% 45436-37823 (83259) |
G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 22.2¢ | $2.4 | $10.83 | +$8.43 | 62% 43985-26997 (70982) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $2.55 | — | -$2.55 | 58% 51142-37272 (88414) |
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$61.15
Value
$50
PnL
-$11.15
Record
57%
71206-54306 (125512)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$2.74
Value
—
PnL
-$2.74
Record
66%
112343-59004 (171347)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$2.1
Value
—
PnL
-$2.1
Record
55%
45436-37823 (83259)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$2.4
Value
$10.83
PnL
+$8.43
Record
62%
43985-26997 (70982)
PB
PBot-6CTR<$100Invested
$2.55
Value
—
PnL
-$2.55
Record
58%
51142-37272 (88414)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1037436f...90ca56
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793457600