Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Resolved Down. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
Down 71%
$152.24
$17.62
Smart Money Signal
5 of 7 top traders (71%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 65.8¢ | $70.62 | $102.57 | +$31.95 | 57% 71206-54306 (125512) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 5.6¢ | $4.11 | — | -$4.11 | 63% 52172-31048 (83220) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 20.3¢ | $10.59 | — | -$10.59 | 66% 112335-58986 (171321) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 83.4¢ | $23.77 | $24.57 | +$0.8 | 55% 45398-37789 (83187) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $13.08 | $10 | -$3.08 | 52% 90788-85318 (176106) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $9.9 | $10 | +$0.1 | 66% 126396-65094 (191490) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $2.55 | $5.1 | +$2.55 | 58% 51123-37260 (88383) |
Invested
$70.62
Value
$102.57
PnL
+$31.95
Record
57%
71206-54306 (125512)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$4.11
Value
—
PnL
-$4.11
Record
63%
52172-31048 (83220)
Invested
$10.59
Value
—
PnL
-$10.59
Record
66%
112335-58986 (171321)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$23.77
Value
$24.57
PnL
+$0.8
Record
55%
45398-37789 (83187)
Invested
$13.08
Value
$10
PnL
-$3.08
Record
52%
90788-85318 (176106)
Invested
$9.9
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.1
Record
66%
126396-65094 (191490)
Invested
$2.55
Value
$5.1
PnL
+$2.55
Record
58%
51123-37260 (88383)
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