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Up
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100DownUp
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100DownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$166.49
Combined PnL
-$3.84
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$166.49
Total Shares166
Combined PnL+$41.5
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares112
Combined PnL-$45.33
Up — 40%Down — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 75.2¢ | $83.27 | $110.7 | +$27.43 | 57% 71206-54306 (125512) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 26.4¢ | $41.83 | — | -$41.83 | 55% 45398-37789 (83187) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 74.8¢ | $41.72 | $55.79 | +$14.07 | 64% 23991-13230 (37221) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 15.2¢ | $3 | — | -$3 | 63% 52172-31048 (83220) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 10¢ | $0.5 | — | -$0.5 | 66% 112335-58986 (171321) |
UN
uninformedflowwInvested
$83.27
Value
$110.7
PnL
+$27.43
Record
57%
71206-54306 (125512)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$41.83
Value
—
PnL
-$41.83
Record
55%
45398-37789 (83187)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$41.72
Value
$55.79
PnL
+$14.07
Record
64%
23991-13230 (37221)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$3
Value
—
PnL
-$3
Record
63%
52172-31048 (83220)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.5
Value
—
PnL
-$0.5
Record
66%
112335-58986 (171321)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf631d0e4...b75cd0
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793453700