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UpDownDown
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Down
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100DownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 67%
Total Value
$65.33
Combined PnL
-$104.11
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$65.33
Total Shares65
Combined PnL+$43.9
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares186
Combined PnL-$148.01
Up — 33%Down — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 26.5¢ | $18.83 | $52.33 | +$33.5 | 66% 112335-58986 (171321) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 71.9¢ | $33.78 | — | -$33.78 | 57% 71206-54306 (125512) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 72.8¢ | $32.75 | — | -$32.75 | 64% 23991-13230 (37221) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 79.5¢ | $67.7 | — | -$67.7 | 55% 45398-37789 (83187) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 33.9¢ | $13.78 | — | -$13.78 | 63% 52172-31048 (83220) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 20¢ | $2.6 | $13 | +$10.4 | 66% 126396-65094 (191490) |
AN
antsaslyku<$100Invested
$18.83
Value
$52.33
PnL
+$33.5
Record
66%
112335-58986 (171321)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$33.78
Value
—
PnL
-$33.78
Record
57%
71206-54306 (125512)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$32.75
Value
—
PnL
-$32.75
Record
64%
23991-13230 (37221)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$67.7
Value
—
PnL
-$67.7
Record
55%
45398-37789 (83187)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$13.78
Value
—
PnL
-$13.78
Record
63%
52172-31048 (83220)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$2.6
Value
$13
PnL
+$10.4
Record
66%
126396-65094 (191490)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x07a1b4cb...edba4c
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793449800