Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Up 63%
1 arb excluded
$353.07
$21.99
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BoneOhio | Upavg 99¢ | $198 | $200 | +$2 | 74% 102692-36455 (139147) |
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100 | Downavg 82.4¢ | $90.53 | $70 | -$20.53 | 57% 71205-54305 (125510) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 82.4¢ | $46.73 | — | -$46.73 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 62.6¢ | $43.8 | $70 | +$26.2 | |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 16.9¢ | $14.9 | $60 | +$45.1 | 66% 112325-58945 (171270) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 37¢ | $14.58 | — | -$14.58 | 63% 52154-31006 (83160) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 79.9¢ | $18.54 | — | -$18.54 | 64% 23928-13193 (37121) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 74.4¢ | $11.49 | — | -$11.49 | 55% 45345-37754 (83099) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Upavg 6¢ | $0.63 | $10.43 | +$9.8 | 59% 62446-43593 (106039) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 16¢ | $1.2 | $7.5 | +$6.3 | 52% 90753-85289 (176042) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 34¢ | $1.75 | $5.15 | +$3.4 | 66% 126346-65068 (191414) |
BoneOhioInvested
$198
Value
$200
PnL
+$2
Record
74%
102692-36455 (139147)
Invested
$90.53
Value
$70
PnL
-$20.53
Record
57%
71205-54305 (125510)
Both legs:
Invested
$14.9
Value
$60
PnL
+$45.1
Record
66%
112325-58945 (171270)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$14.58
Value
—
PnL
-$14.58
Record
63%
52154-31006 (83160)
Invested
$18.54
Value
—
PnL
-$18.54
Record
64%
23928-13193 (37121)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$11.49
Value
—
PnL
-$11.49
Record
55%
45345-37754 (83099)
Invested
$0.63
Value
$10.43
PnL
+$9.8
Record
59%
62446-43593 (106039)
Invested
$1.2
Value
$7.5
PnL
+$6.3
Record
52%
90753-85289 (176042)
Invested
$1.75
Value
$5.15
PnL
+$3.4
Record
66%
126346-65068 (191414)
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