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DownUp
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100DownDown
MayorMamdani<$100UpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 60%
Total Value
$10.19
Combined PnL
-$8.71
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares26
Combined PnL-$13.6
Up2 traders
Total Value$10.19
Total Shares10
Combined PnL+$4.89
Down — 67%Up — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 10¢ | $1.06 | — | -$1.06 | 66% 112325-58945 (171270) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 28¢ | $2.37 | $6.86 | +$4.49 | 66% 126346-65068 (191414) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 12¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 63% 52154-31006 (83160) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 25¢ | $1.82 | — | -$1.82 | 52% 90753-85289 (176042) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 88¢ | $2.93 | $3.33 | +$0.4 | 55% 45345-37754 (83099) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $12.57 | — | -$9.72 | 64% 23928-13193 (37121) |
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$1.06
Value
—
PnL
-$1.06
Record
66%
112325-58945 (171270)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$2.37
Value
$6.86
PnL
+$4.49
Record
66%
126346-65068 (191414)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
63%
52154-31006 (83160)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.82
Value
—
PnL
-$1.82
Record
52%
90753-85289 (176042)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$2.93
Value
$3.33
PnL
+$0.4
Record
55%
45345-37754 (83099)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$12.57
Value
—
PnL
-$9.72
Record
64%
23928-13193 (37121)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xfe3230e9...1e5e66
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793448300