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DownUp
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100UpUp
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100UpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 67%
Total Value
$40.14
Combined PnL
-$0.09
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$40.14
Total Shares40
Combined PnL+$4.58
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares38
Combined PnL-$4.67
Down — 33%Up — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 87.1¢ | $30.61 | $35.14 | +$4.53 | 64% 23928-13193 (37121) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $1.7 | — | -$1.7 | 56% 58298-44982 (103280) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 12¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 63% 52154-31006 (83160) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 16¢ | $1.53 | — | -$1.53 | 66% 126346-65068 (191414) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $0.24 | — | -$0.24 | 55% 45345-37754 (83099) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 52% 90753-85289 (176042) |
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$30.61
Value
$35.14
PnL
+$4.53
Record
64%
23928-13193 (37121)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100Invested
$1.7
Value
—
PnL
-$1.7
Record
56%
58298-44982 (103280)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
63%
52154-31006 (83160)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$1.53
Value
—
PnL
-$1.53
Record
66%
126346-65068 (191414)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.24
Value
—
PnL
-$0.24
Record
55%
45345-37754 (83099)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
52%
90753-85289 (176042)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xbe225b90...20d3db
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793447400