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MayorMamdani<$100UpUpDownUpDown
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100DownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 57%
Total Value
$57.43
Combined PnL
-$7.57
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$57.43
Total Shares57
Combined PnL+$8.44
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares52
Combined PnL-$16.01
Up — 43%Down — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 74.4¢ | $20.49 | $22.96 | +$2.47 | 55% 45345-37754 (83099) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 76.1¢ | $17.86 | $20.47 | +$2.61 | 64% 23928-13193 (37121) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 51.8¢ | $8.3 | — | -$8.3 | 66% 112325-58945 (171270) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 76¢ | $10.64 | $14 | +$3.36 | 52% 90753-85289 (176042) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 11¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 56% 58298-44982 (103280) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 25.7¢ | $4.62 | — | -$4.62 | 63% 52154-31006 (83160) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 25¢ | $1.89 | — | -$1.89 | 66% 126346-65068 (191414) |
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$20.49
Value
$22.96
PnL
+$2.47
Record
55%
45345-37754 (83099)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$17.86
Value
$20.47
PnL
+$2.61
Record
64%
23928-13193 (37121)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$8.3
Value
—
PnL
-$8.3
Record
66%
112325-58945 (171270)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$10.64
Value
$14
PnL
+$3.36
Record
52%
90753-85289 (176042)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
56%
58298-44982 (103280)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$4.62
Value
—
PnL
-$4.62
Record
63%
52154-31006 (83160)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$1.89
Value
—
PnL
-$1.89
Record
66%
126346-65068 (191414)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x7f7ffb5e...9c2ea9
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793446800