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Up
MayorMamdani<$100DownDownUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$32.59
Combined PnL
-$4.06
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares34
Combined PnL-$17.96
Down2 traders
Total Value$32.59
Total Shares33
Combined PnL+$13.9
Up — 60%Down — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 51.6¢ | $17.65 | — | -$12.88 | 64% 23872-13164 (37036) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 40.2¢ | $9.09 | $22.59 | +$13.5 | 55% 45212-37592 (82804) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $9.6 | $10 | +$0.4 | 66% 126299-65048 (191347) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 58¢ | $4.93 | — | -$4.93 | 66% 112317-58917 (171234) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $0.15 | — | -$0.15 | 59% 62435-43586 (106021) |
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$17.65
Value
—
PnL
-$12.88
Record
64%
23872-13164 (37036)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$9.09
Value
$22.59
PnL
+$13.5
Record
55%
45212-37592 (82804)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$9.6
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.4
Record
66%
126299-65048 (191347)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$4.93
Value
—
PnL
-$4.93
Record
66%
112317-58917 (171234)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.15
Value
—
PnL
-$0.15
Record
59%
62435-43586 (106021)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x7ca79fd7...0e39c2
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793437500