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MayorMamdani<$100Down
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100UpDownUpDownUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 57%
Total Value
$76.64
Combined PnL
-$6.56
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$76.64
Total Shares77
Combined PnL+$6.71
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares61
Combined PnL-$13.26
Down — 43%Up — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 90.3¢ | $44.28 | $47.52 | +$3.24 | 55% 45212-37592 (82804) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 5.1¢ | $1.87 | — | -$1.87 | 63% 52135-30979 (83114) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 84.6¢ | $22.01 | $24.12 | +$3.32 | 64% 23872-13164 (37036) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 48.4¢ | $7.2 | — | -$7.2 | 65% 125663-67274 (192937) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $4.85 | $5 | +$0.15 | 61% 95344-60180 (155524) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $2.25 | — | -$2.25 | 52% 90722-85259 (175981) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $1.94 | — | -$1.94 | 66% 126299-65048 (191347) |
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$44.28
Value
$47.52
PnL
+$3.24
Record
55%
45212-37592 (82804)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.87
Value
—
PnL
-$1.87
Record
63%
52135-30979 (83114)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$22.01
Value
$24.12
PnL
+$3.32
Record
64%
23872-13164 (37036)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100Invested
$7.2
Value
—
PnL
-$7.2
Record
65%
125663-67274 (192937)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$4.85
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.15
Record
61%
95344-60180 (155524)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$2.25
Value
—
PnL
-$2.25
Record
52%
90722-85259 (175981)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$1.94
Value
—
PnL
-$1.94
Record
66%
126299-65048 (191347)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x624bd4f6...9e34c2
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793436900