Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Resolved Down. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
Down 71%
$125.47
-$5.79
Smart Money Signal
5 of 7 top traders (71%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 78.2¢ | $59.07 | $48.8 | -$4.32 | 65% 125617-67257 (192874) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 12¢ | $5.03 | $31.12 | +$26.09 | 66% 112311-58899 (171210) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 71.1¢ | $33.85 | $30.16 | -$3.69 | 55% 45212-37590 (82802) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 85.1¢ | $30.74 | — | -$30.74 | 64% 23828-13134 (36962) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 25¢ | $2.59 | $10.39 | +$7.8 | 52% 90691-85227 (175918) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 6¢ | $0.3 | $5 | +$4.7 | 61% 95305-60157 (155462) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 7.9¢ | $5.62 | — | -$5.62 | 63% 52124-30942 (83066) |
Invested
$59.07
Value
$48.8
PnL
-$4.32
Record
65%
125617-67257 (192874)
Invested
$5.03
Value
$31.12
PnL
+$26.09
Record
66%
112311-58899 (171210)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$33.85
Value
$30.16
PnL
-$3.69
Record
55%
45212-37590 (82802)
Invested
$30.74
Value
—
PnL
-$30.74
Record
64%
23828-13134 (36962)
Invested
$2.59
Value
$10.39
PnL
+$7.8
Record
52%
90691-85227 (175918)
Invested
$0.3
Value
$5
PnL
+$4.7
Record
61%
95305-60157 (155462)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$5.62
Value
—
PnL
-$5.62
Record
63%
52124-30942 (83066)
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