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MayorMamdani<$100Down
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100UpDownDownDown
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$92.99
Combined PnL
$3.17
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$92.99
Total Shares93
Combined PnL+$4.54
Up1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares44
Combined PnL-$1.37
Down — 80%Up — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $45.71 | $38 | -$7.71 | 55% 45212-37590 (82802) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 3.1¢ | $1.37 | — | -$1.37 | 63% 52124-30942 (83066) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 76.6¢ | $23.1 | $30.15 | +$7.05 | 65% 125617-67257 (192874) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $18.81 | $19.19 | +$0.38 | 66% 126252-65031 (191283) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $5.1 | $5.65 | +$4.81 | 64% 23828-13134 (36962) |
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$45.71
Value
$38
PnL
-$7.71
Record
55%
45212-37590 (82802)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.37
Value
—
PnL
-$1.37
Record
63%
52124-30942 (83066)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$23.1
Value
$30.15
PnL
+$7.05
Record
65%
125617-67257 (192874)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$18.81
Value
$19.19
PnL
+$0.38
Record
66%
126252-65031 (191283)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$5.1
Value
$5.65
PnL
+$4.81
Record
64%
23828-13134 (36962)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf6104f43...4f47cc
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793434800