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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

XRP Up or Down - October 31, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Resolved Down. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Up 78%

Total Value

$37.91

Combined PnL

-$108.55

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 9 top traders (78%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down2 traders

Total Value$37.91

Total Shares38

Combined PnL+$21.27

Up7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares154

Combined PnL-$129.81

Down — 22%Up — 78%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 34.4¢	$14.05	$34	+$20.25	65% 125573-67230 (192803)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 92¢	$35.38	—	-$35.38	64% 40258-23030 (63288)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 91¢	$33.69	—	-$33.69	62% 43927-26950 (70877)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Upavg 92.9¢	$18.58	—	-$18.58	61% 95257-60134 (155391)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 68.2¢	$18.7	—	-$18.7	64% 23759-13098 (36857)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 80.4¢	$8.16	—	-$8.16	66% 112305-58874 (171179)
AS asdaefefCTR<$100	Upavg 87¢	$11.98	—	-$11.98	66% 126202-65005 (191207)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 74¢	$2.89	$3.91	+$1.02	56% 58251-44962 (103213)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100	Upavg 26.7¢	$3.32	—	-$3.32	63% 52106-30898 (83004)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$14.05

Value

$34

PnL

+$20.25

Record

65%

125573-67230 (192803)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$35.38

Value

—

PnL

-$35.38

Record

64%

40258-23030 (63288)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$33.69

Value

—

PnL

-$33.69

Record

62%

43927-26950 (70877)

asidjasiodjaCTR<$100

Invested

$18.58

Value

—

PnL

-$18.58

Record

61%

95257-60134 (155391)

Invested

$18.7

Value

—

PnL

-$18.7

Record

64%

23759-13098 (36857)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$8.16

Value

—

PnL

-$8.16

Record

66%

112305-58874 (171179)

asdaefefCTR<$100

Invested

$11.98

Value

—

PnL

-$11.98

Record

66%

126202-65005 (191207)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$2.89

Value

$3.91

PnL

+$1.02

Record

56%

58251-44962 (103213)

UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100

Invested

$3.32

Value

—

PnL

-$3.32

Record

63%

52106-30898 (83004)

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 9 top traders (78%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x50903018...06efdf

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1793429100

Traders in this Market

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $34

ohioism

Up — $0

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $0

asidjasiodja

Up — $0

aaa221

Up — $0

antsaslyku

Up — $0

asdaefef

Up — $0

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $3.91

UpandDownSyndrome

Up — $0

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