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Down
UpandDownSyndrome<$100DownUpUpUpUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Resolved Down. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 71%
Total Value
$35.18
Combined PnL
-$9.12
Smart Money Signal
Up
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$35.18
Total Shares35
Combined PnL+$7.46
Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares24
Combined PnL-$16.58
Down — 29%Up — 71%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 64.7¢ | $16.3 | $25.18 | +$8.88 | 65% 125540-67211 (192751) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $11.42 | $10 | -$1.42 | 63% 52091-30868 (82959) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $2.28 | — | -$2.28 | 66% 126157-64992 (191149) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 28¢ | $1.46 | — | -$1.46 | 52% 90624-85193 (175817) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $2.19 | — | -$2.19 | 61% 95227-60115 (155342) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 112303-58850 (171153) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 93.4¢ | $12.34 | — | -$10.6 | 64% 23717-13072 (36789) |
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$16.3
Value
$25.18
PnL
+$8.88
Record
65%
125540-67211 (192751)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$11.42
Value
$10
PnL
-$1.42
Record
63%
52091-30868 (82959)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$2.28
Value
—
PnL
-$2.28
Record
66%
126157-64992 (191149)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.46
Value
—
PnL
-$1.46
Record
52%
90624-85193 (175817)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$2.19
Value
—
PnL
-$2.19
Record
61%
95227-60115 (155342)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
112303-58850 (171153)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$12.34
Value
—
PnL
-$10.6
Record
64%
23717-13072 (36789)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xadedfefc...3b2f5b
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793422200