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UpDown
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100UpUpUpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 67%
Total Value
$47.63
Combined PnL
-$3.2
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares74
Combined PnL-$10.13
Down2 traders
Total Value$47.63
Total Shares48
Combined PnL+$6.93
Up — 67%Down — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $2.04 | — | -$2.04 | 59% 62333-43508 (105841) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 85.9¢ | $40.05 | $46.63 | +$6.57 | 64% 23528-12966 (36494) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $4.41 | — | -$4.41 | 63% 52043-30715 (82758) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 33¢ | $1.98 | — | -$1.98 | 61% 95112-60031 (155143) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 34¢ | $1.7 | — | -$1.7 | 66% 126030-64913 (190943) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $7.1 | $1 | +$0.35 | 48% 23338-25669 (49007) |
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$2.04
Value
—
PnL
-$2.04
Record
59%
62333-43508 (105841)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$40.05
Value
$46.63
PnL
+$6.57
Record
64%
23528-12966 (36494)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$4.41
Value
—
PnL
-$4.41
Record
63%
52043-30715 (82758)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$1.98
Value
—
PnL
-$1.98
Record
61%
95112-60031 (155143)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$1.7
Value
—
PnL
-$1.7
Record
66%
126030-64913 (190943)
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100Invested
$7.1
Value
$1
PnL
+$0.35
Record
48%
23338-25669 (49007)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xd18aba00...33857e
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793406000