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Down
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100UpUpUpUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 83%
Total Value
$31.16
Combined PnL
-$34.61
Smart Money Signal
Up
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down1 trader
Total Value$31.16
Total Shares31
Combined PnL+$4.26
Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares156
Combined PnL-$38.87
Down — 17%Up — 83%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 72.5¢ | $26.9 | $31.16 | +$4.26 | 64% 23528-12966 (36494) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 14.3¢ | $3 | — | -$3 | 63% 52043-30715 (82758) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 24.6¢ | $6.78 | — | -$6.78 | 52% 90518-85062 (175580) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 79¢ | $7.9 | — | -$7.9 | 56% 58191-44916 (103107) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 18.9¢ | $16.09 | — | -$16.09 | 66% 112280-58767 (171047) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 30¢ | $5.1 | — | -$5.1 | 61% 95112-60031 (155143) |
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$26.9
Value
$31.16
PnL
+$4.26
Record
64%
23528-12966 (36494)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$3
Value
—
PnL
-$3
Record
63%
52043-30715 (82758)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$6.78
Value
—
PnL
-$6.78
Record
52%
90518-85062 (175580)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100Invested
$7.9
Value
—
PnL
-$7.9
Record
56%
58191-44916 (103107)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$16.09
Value
—
PnL
-$16.09
Record
66%
112280-58767 (171047)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$5.1
Value
—
PnL
-$5.1
Record
61%
95112-60031 (155143)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc999a3da...f3760e
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793405400