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UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100DownDownUpDownDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Resolved Up. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 83%
Total Value
$21.59
Combined PnL
-$8.43
Smart Money Signal
Down
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares88
Combined PnL-$12.64
Up1 trader
Total Value$21.59
Total Shares22
Combined PnL+$4.21
Down — 83%Up — 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $1.05 | — | -$1.05 | 63% 52043-30715 (82758) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 15¢ | $4.69 | — | -$4.69 | 66% 112280-58767 (171047) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 73.7¢ | $17.38 | $21.59 | +$4.21 | 64% 23528-12966 (36494) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 30¢ | $2.52 | — | -$2.52 | 52% 90518-85062 (175580) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 32.1¢ | $2.16 | — | -$2.16 | 61% 95112-60031 (155143) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 34¢ | $2.22 | — | -$2.22 | 66% 126030-64913 (190943) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.05
Value
—
PnL
-$1.05
Record
63%
52043-30715 (82758)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$4.69
Value
—
PnL
-$4.69
Record
66%
112280-58767 (171047)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$17.38
Value
$21.59
PnL
+$4.21
Record
64%
23528-12966 (36494)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$2.52
Value
—
PnL
-$2.52
Record
52%
90518-85062 (175580)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$2.16
Value
—
PnL
-$2.16
Record
61%
95112-60031 (155143)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$2.22
Value
—
PnL
-$2.22
Record
66%
126030-64913 (190943)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1b0287d0...822d1a
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793401500