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DownUpDownUpDownDown
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Down 50%
Total Value
$10
Combined PnL
$0.36
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$10
Total Shares10
Combined PnL+$0.5
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1
Combined PnL-$0.14
Down — 67%Up — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $9.5 | $10 | +$0.5 | 52% 90518-85062 (175580) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 12¢ | $0.14 | — | -$0.14 | 64% 23528-12966 (36494) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100 | Downavg 35¢ | — | — | +$0 | 48% 23338-25669 (49007) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 19.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 66% 112280-58767 (171047) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | — | — | +$0 | 66% 126030-64913 (190943) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 60661-44284 (104945) |
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$9.5
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.5
Record
52%
90518-85062 (175580)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$0.14
Value
—
PnL
-$0.14
Record
64%
23528-12966 (36494)
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
48%
23338-25669 (49007)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
112280-58767 (171047)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
126030-64913 (190943)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
60661-44284 (104945)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8b248d79...00045d
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793397300