Back to Markets
UpDownDownUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$52.68
Combined PnL
-$27.26
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares89
Combined PnL-$44.4
Down2 traders
Total Value$52.68
Total Shares53
Combined PnL+$17.13
Up — 60%Down — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 21.6¢ | $18.71 | — | -$18.71 | 66% 112247-58715 (170962) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $33.86 | $33.91 | +$0.05 | 59% 62303-43482 (105785) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 9¢ | $1.68 | $18.77 | +$17.09 | 66% 125972-64860 (190832) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $14.85 | — | -$14.85 | 61% 95058-59969 (155027) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 98.5¢ | $10.84 | — | -$10.84 | 52% 90461-84991 (175452) |
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$18.71
Value
—
PnL
-$18.71
Record
66%
112247-58715 (170962)
0X
0x50f7<$100Invested
$33.86
Value
$33.91
PnL
+$0.05
Record
59%
62303-43482 (105785)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$1.68
Value
$18.77
PnL
+$17.09
Record
66%
125972-64860 (190832)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$14.85
Value
—
PnL
-$14.85
Record
61%
95058-59969 (155027)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$10.84
Value
—
PnL
-$10.84
Record
52%
90461-84991 (175452)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xfee610a5...afc788
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793394000