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UpUpDownUp
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100UpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 83%
Total Value
$15
Combined PnL
-$9.14
Smart Money Signal
Up
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares56
Combined PnL-$9.15
Down1 trader
Total Value$15
Total Shares15
Combined PnL+$0.02
Up — 83%Down — 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 20.3¢ | $3.3 | — | -$3.3 | 61% 95058-59969 (155027) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 20.9¢ | $3.15 | — | -$3.15 | 66% 125972-64860 (190832) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $14.99 | $15 | +$0.02 | 59% 62303-43482 (105785) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 8.8¢ | $1.08 | — | -$1.08 | 52% 90461-84991 (175452) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 15.7¢ | $1.6 | — | -$1.6 | 63% 52021-30681 (82702) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.02 | — | -$0.02 | 66% 112247-58715 (170962) |
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$3.3
Value
—
PnL
-$3.3
Record
61%
95058-59969 (155027)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$3.15
Value
—
PnL
-$3.15
Record
66%
125972-64860 (190832)
0X
0x50f7<$100Invested
$14.99
Value
$15
PnL
+$0.02
Record
59%
62303-43482 (105785)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.08
Value
—
PnL
-$1.08
Record
52%
90461-84991 (175452)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.6
Value
—
PnL
-$1.6
Record
63%
52021-30681 (82702)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.02
Value
—
PnL
-$0.02
Record
66%
112247-58715 (170962)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1e240687...6c9819
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793392200