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UpandDownSyndrome<$100UpUpDownDownDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 67%
Total Value
$55.42
Combined PnL
-$0.3
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$55.42
Total Shares55
Combined PnL+$10.43
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares58
Combined PnL-$10.74
Up — 33%Down — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 59.5¢ | $14.6 | $19.37 | +$4.77 | 63% 52008-30666 (82674) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 84.3¢ | $30.39 | $36.05 | +$5.67 | 64% 23388-12902 (36290) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 24.7¢ | $6.61 | — | -$6.61 | 66% 112233-58692 (170925) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 13¢ | $1.4 | — | -$1.4 | 52% 90443-84945 (175388) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 13¢ | $1.4 | — | -$1.4 | 61% 95030-59937 (154967) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 13¢ | $1.33 | — | -$1.33 | 66% 125935-64835 (190770) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$14.6
Value
$19.37
PnL
+$4.77
Record
63%
52008-30666 (82674)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$30.39
Value
$36.05
PnL
+$5.67
Record
64%
23388-12902 (36290)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$6.61
Value
—
PnL
-$6.61
Record
66%
112233-58692 (170925)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.4
Value
—
PnL
-$1.4
Record
52%
90443-84945 (175388)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$1.4
Value
—
PnL
-$1.4
Record
61%
95030-59937 (154967)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$1.33
Value
—
PnL
-$1.33
Record
66%
125935-64835 (190770)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x01032c5c...3bfba8
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793388300