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UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100UpUpUpUpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 80%
Total Value
$5
Combined PnL
-$9.02
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares69
Combined PnL-$11.07
Down1 trader
Total Value$5
Total Shares5
Combined PnL+$2.05
Up — 80%Down — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 11.4¢ | $3.77 | — | -$3.77 | 63% 52008-30666 (82674) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 19.8¢ | $3.1 | — | -$3.1 | 66% 125935-64835 (190770) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 13.9¢ | $2.12 | — | -$2.12 | 61% 95030-59937 (154967) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $2.08 | — | -$2.08 | 52% 90443-84945 (175388) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 59¢ | $2.95 | $5 | +$2.05 | 66% 112233-58692 (170925) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$3.77
Value
—
PnL
-$3.77
Record
63%
52008-30666 (82674)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$3.1
Value
—
PnL
-$3.1
Record
66%
125935-64835 (190770)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$2.12
Value
—
PnL
-$2.12
Record
61%
95030-59937 (154967)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$2.08
Value
—
PnL
-$2.08
Record
52%
90443-84945 (175388)
AN
antsaslyku<$100Invested
$2.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.05
Record
66%
112233-58692 (170925)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x919dff52...6db189
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793386800