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DownDownUpUp
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100UpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 67%
Total Value
$66.76
Combined PnL
$5.12
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$66.76
Total Shares67
Combined PnL+$13.2
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares69
Combined PnL-$8.08
Down — 33%Up — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 72.9¢ | $43.57 | $59.76 | +$16.19 | 64% 23325-12863 (36188) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 76¢ | $9.98 | $7 | -$2.98 | 66% 112214-58657 (170871) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 8¢ | $1.7 | — | -$1.7 | 61% 94986-59906 (154892) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 6.4¢ | $1.35 | — | -$1.35 | 66% 125885-64811 (190696) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 23¢ | $3.73 | — | -$3.73 | 63% 51987-30635 (82622) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 12¢ | $1.3 | — | -$1.3 | 52% 90403-84904 (175307) |
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$43.57
Value
$59.76
PnL
+$16.19
Record
64%
23325-12863 (36188)
AN
antsaslyku<$100Invested
$9.98
Value
$7
PnL
-$2.98
Record
66%
112214-58657 (170871)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$1.7
Value
—
PnL
-$1.7
Record
61%
94986-59906 (154892)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$1.35
Value
—
PnL
-$1.35
Record
66%
125885-64811 (190696)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$3.73
Value
—
PnL
-$3.73
Record
63%
51987-30635 (82622)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.3
Value
—
PnL
-$1.3
Record
52%
90403-84904 (175307)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe9778cf9...624c68
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793382000