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Down
UpandDownSyndrome<$100UpDownDownDownDown
ohioismCTR<$100Down Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Down β but Up won instead.

XRP Up or Down - October 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 86%
Total Value
$20
Combined PnL
-$40.23
Smart Money Signal
Down
6 of 7 top traders (86%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares185
Combined PnL-$49.27
Up1 trader
Total Value$20
Total Shares20
Combined PnL+$9.04
Down β 86%Up β 14%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 20.2Β’ | $23.33 | β | -$23.33 | 66% 112214-58657 (170871) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 52Β’ | $10.96 | $20 | +$9.04 | 63% 51987-30635 (82622) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 11Β’ | $3.82 | β | -$3.82 | 52% 90403-84904 (175307) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 11Β’ | $3.57 | β | -$3.57 | 66% 125885-64811 (190696) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 11Β’ | $1.72 | β | -$1.72 | 61% 94986-59906 (154892) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 78Β’ | $8.93 | β | -$8.93 | 64% 23325-12863 (36188) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 79Β’ | $7.9 | β | -$7.9 | 64% 40142-22964 (63106) |
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$23.33
Value
β
PnL
-$23.33
Record
66%
112214-58657 (170871)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$10.96
Value
$20
PnL
+$9.04
Record
63%
51987-30635 (82622)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$3.82
Value
β
PnL
-$3.82
Record
52%
90403-84904 (175307)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$3.57
Value
β
PnL
-$3.57
Record
66%
125885-64811 (190696)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$1.72
Value
β
PnL
-$1.72
Record
61%
94986-59906 (154892)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$8.93
Value
β
PnL
-$8.93
Record
64%
23325-12863 (36188)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$7.9
Value
β
PnL
-$7.9
Record
64%
40142-22964 (63106)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x32b0c148...abe4ac
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793381100