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UpDownDownDownUp
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 67%
Total Value
$15
Combined PnL
-$1.93
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$15
Total Shares15
Combined PnL+$1.8
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares41
Combined PnL-$3.73
Up — 33%Down — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $10.85 | $10 | -$0.85 | 66% 125851-64777 (190628) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 14¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 61% 94946-59871 (154817) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 13¢ | $1.02 | — | -$1.02 | 52% 90356-84870 (175226) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 8¢ | $0.43 | — | -$0.43 | 57% 70922-54007 (124929) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $2.35 | $5 | +$2.65 | 56% 58095-44840 (102935) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 5.7¢ | $1.08 | — | -$1.08 | 63% 51950-30621 (82571) |
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$10.85
Value
$10
PnL
-$0.85
Record
66%
125851-64777 (190628)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
61%
94946-59871 (154817)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.02
Value
—
PnL
-$1.02
Record
52%
90356-84870 (175226)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$0.43
Value
—
PnL
-$0.43
Record
57%
70922-54007 (124929)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100Invested
$2.35
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.65
Record
56%
58095-44840 (102935)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.08
Value
—
PnL
-$1.08
Record
63%
51950-30621 (82571)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x352d6ae7...e72e50
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793376900