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UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100DownUpDownDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$14.93
Combined PnL
-$4.64
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares60
Combined PnL-$4.84
Up2 traders
Total Value$14.93
Total Shares15
Combined PnL+$0.2
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 5.1¢ | $2.38 | — | -$2.38 | 63% 51950-30621 (82571) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $9.83 | $9.93 | +$0.1 | 59% 62257-43437 (105694) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 18¢ | $1.32 | — | -$1.32 | 52% 90356-84870 (175226) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 18¢ | $1.14 | — | -$1.14 | 61% 94946-59871 (154817) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $4.9 | $5 | +$0.1 | 66% 125851-64777 (190628) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$2.38
Value
—
PnL
-$2.38
Record
63%
51950-30621 (82571)
0X
0x50f7<$100Invested
$9.83
Value
$9.93
PnL
+$0.1
Record
59%
62257-43437 (105694)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.32
Value
—
PnL
-$1.32
Record
52%
90356-84870 (175226)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$1.14
Value
—
PnL
-$1.14
Record
61%
94946-59871 (154817)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$4.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.1
Record
66%
125851-64777 (190628)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x69b45276...aaa23f
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793376600