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UpandDownSyndrome<$100UpDownUpUpDownDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 57%
Total Value
$44.3
Combined PnL
-$16.89
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$44.3
Total Shares44
Combined PnL+$10.86
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares70
Combined PnL-$27.75
Up — 43%Down — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 78.7¢ | $19.27 | $18.4 | -$0.87 | 63% 51950-30621 (82571) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 47.3¢ | $24 | — | -$24 | 56% 58095-44840 (102935) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 53¢ | $9.17 | $16.1 | +$6.93 | 64% 23273-12819 (36092) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $5 | $9.8 | +$4.8 | 66% 112191-58626 (170817) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 19¢ | $1.4 | — | -$1.4 | 66% 125851-64777 (190628) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 19¢ | $1.25 | — | -$1.25 | 52% 90356-84870 (175226) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 19¢ | $1.1 | — | -$1.1 | 61% 94946-59871 (154817) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$19.27
Value
$18.4
PnL
-$0.87
Record
63%
51950-30621 (82571)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100Invested
$24
Value
—
PnL
-$24
Record
56%
58095-44840 (102935)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$9.17
Value
$16.1
PnL
+$6.93
Record
64%
23273-12819 (36092)
AN
antsaslyku<$100Invested
$5
Value
$9.8
PnL
+$4.8
Record
66%
112191-58626 (170817)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$1.4
Value
—
PnL
-$1.4
Record
66%
125851-64777 (190628)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.25
Value
—
PnL
-$1.25
Record
52%
90356-84870 (175226)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$1.1
Value
—
PnL
-$1.1
Record
61%
94946-59871 (154817)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2497a101...fdb789
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793376300