Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
13
Down 62%
$118.09
-$38.99
Smart Money Signal
8 of 13 top traders (62%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 92.2¢ | $33.94 | $36.82 | +$2.88 | 55% 44953-37390 (82343) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $19.09 | $19.89 | +$0.8 | 64% 23273-12819 (36092) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 87.9¢ | $18.43 | $17.28 | -$1.15 | 52% 90356-84870 (175226) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $26.53 | $15 | -$11.53 | 59% 62257-43437 (105694) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $6 | — | -$6 | 48% 23286-25627 (48913) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 23¢ | $32.63 | — | -$32.63 | 57% 70922-54007 (124929) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $5.21 | $10.01 | +$4.8 | 58% 51007-37153 (88160) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 74% 102547-36416 (138963) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $4.82 | $9.09 | +$4.27 | 66% 112191-58626 (170817) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $2.25 | $5 | +$2.75 | 56% 58095-44840 (102935) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 7¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 66% 125851-64777 (190628) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 13.1¢ | $1.54 | — | -$1.54 | 61% 94946-59871 (154817) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 4.9¢ | $0.49 | — | -$0.49 | 63% 51950-30621 (82571) |
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$33.94
Value
$36.82
PnL
+$2.88
Record
55%
44953-37390 (82343)
Invested
$19.09
Value
$19.89
PnL
+$0.8
Record
64%
23273-12819 (36092)
Invested
$18.43
Value
$17.28
PnL
-$1.15
Record
52%
90356-84870 (175226)
Invested
$26.53
Value
$15
PnL
-$11.53
Record
59%
62257-43437 (105694)
Invested
$6
Value
—
PnL
-$6
Record
48%
23286-25627 (48913)
Invested
$32.63
Value
—
PnL
-$32.63
Record
57%
70922-54007 (124929)
Invested
$5.21
Value
$10.01
PnL
+$4.8
Record
58%
51007-37153 (88160)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
74%
102547-36416 (138963)
Invested
$4.82
Value
$9.09
PnL
+$4.27
Record
66%
112191-58626 (170817)
Invested
$2.25
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.75
Record
56%
58095-44840 (102935)
Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
66%
125851-64777 (190628)
Invested
$1.54
Value
—
PnL
-$1.54
Record
61%
94946-59871 (154817)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$0.49
Value
—
PnL
-$0.49
Record
63%
51950-30621 (82571)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
MayorMamdani
Down — $36.82
aaa221
Down — $19.89
dvasdkasodk
Down — $17.28
0x50f7
Down — $15
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
CTRUp — $0
uninformedfloww
CTRUp — $0
PBot-6
Down — $10.01
BoneOhio
Down — $5
antsaslyku
Down — $9.09
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $5