Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
7
Up 57%
$146.94
$59.95
Smart Money Signal
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 35.6¢ | $41.46 | $116.5 | +$75.04 | 57% 70901-53981 (124882) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 50.4¢ | $9.77 | $13.62 | +$3.85 | 63% 51921-30603 (82524) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 47.1¢ | $12.4 | $16.82 | +$4.42 | 68% 99525-47913 (147438) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 58¢ | $8.15 | — | -$8.15 | 66% 112173-58591 (170764) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 41¢ | $12.36 | — | -$7.86 | 64% 23206-12791 (35997) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $5.1 | — | -$5.1 | 55% 44917-37366 (82283) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 45¢ | $2.25 | — | -$2.25 | 56% 58073-44827 (102900) |
Invested
$41.46
Value
$116.5
PnL
+$75.04
Record
57%
70901-53981 (124882)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$9.77
Value
$13.62
PnL
+$3.85
Record
63%
51921-30603 (82524)
Invested
$12.4
Value
$16.82
PnL
+$4.42
Record
68%
99525-47913 (147438)
Invested
$8.15
Value
—
PnL
-$8.15
Record
66%
112173-58591 (170764)
Invested
$12.36
Value
—
PnL
-$7.86
Record
64%
23206-12791 (35997)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$5.1
Value
—
PnL
-$5.1
Record
55%
44917-37366 (82283)
Invested
$2.25
Value
—
PnL
-$2.25
Record
56%
58073-44827 (102900)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
uninformedfloww
Down — $116.5
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $13.62
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $16.82
antsaslyku
CTRUp — $0
aaa221
CTRUp — $0
MayorMamdani
CTRUp — $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp — $0