Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Down 63%
$41.28
-$14.91
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 62.8¢ | $24.47 | $23.3 | -$1.17 | 66% 112148-58563 (170711) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 34.7¢ | $11.04 | — | -$11.04 | 63% 51894-30579 (82473) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 93¢ | $15.63 | $16.81 | +$1.18 | 64% 23134-12762 (35896) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 7.8¢ | $1.26 | — | -$1.26 | 61% 94870-59807 (154677) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 8.4¢ | $1.3 | — | -$1.3 | 52% 90287-84781 (175068) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 22¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 66% 125752-64727 (190479) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $1.16 | $1.17 | +$0.01 | 59% 62228-43400 (105628) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 12¢ | $0.14 | — | -$0.14 | 57% 70744-53860 (124604) |
Invested
$24.47
Value
$23.3
PnL
-$1.17
Record
66%
112148-58563 (170711)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$11.04
Value
—
PnL
-$11.04
Record
63%
51894-30579 (82473)
Invested
$15.63
Value
$16.81
PnL
+$1.18
Record
64%
23134-12762 (35896)
Invested
$1.26
Value
—
PnL
-$1.26
Record
61%
94870-59807 (154677)
Invested
$1.3
Value
—
PnL
-$1.3
Record
52%
90287-84781 (175068)
Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
66%
125752-64727 (190479)
Invested
$1.16
Value
$1.17
PnL
+$0.01
Record
59%
62228-43400 (105628)
Invested
$0.14
Value
—
PnL
-$0.14
Record
57%
70744-53860 (124604)
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