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DownDownUpUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$25.81
Combined PnL
-$5.81
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$25.81
Total Shares26
Combined PnL+$4.6
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares21
Combined PnL-$10.41
Down — 40%Up — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $17.02 | $14 | -$3.02 | 66% 125490-64588 (190078) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 35.5¢ | $4.2 | $11.81 | +$7.62 | 64% 23076-12710 (35786) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 64¢ | $6.21 | — | -$6.21 | 52% 90236-84735 (174971) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.18 | — | -$0.18 | 59% 62205-43384 (105589) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 64¢ | $4.02 | — | -$4.02 | 61% 94821-59772 (154593) |
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$17.02
Value
$14
PnL
-$3.02
Record
66%
125490-64588 (190078)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$4.2
Value
$11.81
PnL
+$7.62
Record
64%
23076-12710 (35786)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$6.21
Value
—
PnL
-$6.21
Record
52%
90236-84735 (174971)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.18
Value
—
PnL
-$0.18
Record
59%
62205-43384 (105589)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$4.02
Value
—
PnL
-$4.02
Record
61%
94821-59772 (154593)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x5ac38105...f2fe68
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793359200