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UpDownDownDownDown
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$26.13
Combined PnL
$2.65
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares22
Combined PnL-$0.36
Down4 traders
Total Value$26.13
Total Shares26
Combined PnL+$3.01
Up — 20%Down — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 1.6¢ | $0.36 | — | -$0.36 | 48% 23258-25567 (48825) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $9.8 | $10 | +$0.2 | 61% 94821-59772 (154593) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $5.52 | $6.13 | +$0.61 | 66% 125490-64588 (190078) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 57¢ | $2.85 | $5 | +$2.15 | 64% 23076-12710 (35786) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 52% 90236-84735 (174971) |
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100Invested
$0.36
Value
—
PnL
-$0.36
Record
48%
23258-25567 (48825)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$9.8
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.2
Record
61%
94821-59772 (154593)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$5.52
Value
$6.13
PnL
+$0.61
Record
66%
125490-64588 (190078)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$2.85
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.15
Record
64%
23076-12710 (35786)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
52%
90236-84735 (174971)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa0a2bbdd...fba0e9
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793358900