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DownDown
MayorMamdani<$100DownDownDownUp
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Down 83%
Total Value
$39.72
Combined PnL
$5.24
Smart Money Signal
Down
5 of 6 top traders (83%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down5 traders
Total Value$39.72
Total Shares40
Combined PnL+$5.6
Up1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares2
Combined PnL-$0.35
Down — 83%Up — 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 70.5¢ | $7.2 | $10.22 | +$3.02 | 66% 125490-64588 (190078) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $9.9 | $10 | +$0.1 | 61% 94821-59772 (154593) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $9.12 | $9.5 | +$0.38 | 55% 44849-37309 (82158) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 60¢ | $3 | $5 | +$2 | 65% 125137-66970 (192107) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $4.9 | $5 | +$0.1 | 52% 90236-84735 (174971) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 15¢ | $0.35 | — | -$0.35 | 64% 23076-12710 (35786) |
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$7.2
Value
$10.22
PnL
+$3.02
Record
66%
125490-64588 (190078)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$9.9
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.1
Record
61%
94821-59772 (154593)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$9.12
Value
$9.5
PnL
+$0.38
Record
55%
44849-37309 (82158)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$3
Value
$5
PnL
+$2
Record
65%
125137-66970 (192107)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$4.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.1
Record
52%
90236-84735 (174971)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$0.35
Value
—
PnL
-$0.35
Record
64%
23076-12710 (35786)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xd6e5d18a...5b369f
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793358300