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DownDownDownUp
MayorMamdani<$100DownUp
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Down 67%
Total Value
$53.06
Combined PnL
$13.8
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$53.06
Total Shares53
Combined PnL+$15.42
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares11
Combined PnL-$1.62
Down — 67%Up — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $12.29 | $24.13 | +$11.84 | 64% 23076-12710 (35786) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 66¢ | $13.02 | $10 | -$3.02 | 66% 125490-64588 (190078) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 59.1¢ | $7.65 | $12.93 | +$5.28 | 66% 112118-58522 (170640) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 21.3¢ | $1.54 | — | -$1.54 | 68% 99316-47652 (146968) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $4.68 | $6 | +$1.32 | 55% 44849-37309 (82158) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.08 | — | -$0.08 | 59% 62205-43384 (105589) |
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$12.29
Value
$24.13
PnL
+$11.84
Record
64%
23076-12710 (35786)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$13.02
Value
$10
PnL
-$3.02
Record
66%
125490-64588 (190078)
AN
antsaslyku<$100Invested
$7.65
Value
$12.93
PnL
+$5.28
Record
66%
112118-58522 (170640)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$1.54
Value
—
PnL
-$1.54
Record
68%
99316-47652 (146968)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$4.68
Value
$6
PnL
+$1.32
Record
55%
44849-37309 (82158)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.08
Value
—
PnL
-$0.08
Record
59%
62205-43384 (105589)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x448523e7...5880be
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793358000