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UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100DownUpUpDown
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$20.92
Combined PnL
-$1.5
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares42
Combined PnL-$2.74
Up2 traders
Total Value$20.92
Total Shares21
Combined PnL+$1.24
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 4¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 63% 51816-30540 (82356) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 83¢ | $13.21 | $15.92 | +$2.71 | 64% 22980-12672 (35652) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $6.47 | $5 | -$1.47 | 61% 94766-59706 (154472) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 17¢ | $1.5 | — | -$1.5 | 52% 90179-84671 (174850) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $0.24 | — | -$0.24 | 55% 44800-37263 (82063) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
63%
51816-30540 (82356)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$13.21
Value
$15.92
PnL
+$2.71
Record
64%
22980-12672 (35652)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$6.47
Value
$5
PnL
-$1.47
Record
61%
94766-59706 (154472)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.5
Value
—
PnL
-$1.5
Record
52%
90179-84671 (174850)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.24
Value
—
PnL
-$0.24
Record
55%
44800-37263 (82063)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0e5c22be...6c622f
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793343300