Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Down 56%
$74.29
$5.4
Smart Money Signal
5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 82.5¢ | $24.9 | $30.16 | +$5.27 | 65% 125073-66927 (192000) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 87¢ | $23.3 | $26.79 | +$3.49 | 64% 22980-12672 (35652) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 20¢ | $1.98 | — | -$1.98 | 61% 94766-59706 (154472) |
0D 0x0d2d...7ff5<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $4.41 | $9 | +$4.59 | 46% 7844-9262 (17106) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 59¢ | $4.91 | $8.33 | +$3.42 | 66% 112081-58477 (170558) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 38¢ | $1.9 | — | -$1.9 | 52% 90179-84671 (174850) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 8¢ | $1.3 | — | -$1.3 | 63% 51816-30540 (82356) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 12¢ | $1.3 | — | -$1.3 | 55% 44800-37263 (82063) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 7.8¢ | $4.89 | — | -$4.89 | 62% 43761-26767 (70528) |
Invested
$24.9
Value
$30.16
PnL
+$5.27
Record
65%
125073-66927 (192000)
Invested
$23.3
Value
$26.79
PnL
+$3.49
Record
64%
22980-12672 (35652)
Invested
$1.98
Value
—
PnL
-$1.98
Record
61%
94766-59706 (154472)
Invested
$4.41
Value
$9
PnL
+$4.59
Record
46%
7844-9262 (17106)
Invested
$4.91
Value
$8.33
PnL
+$3.42
Record
66%
112081-58477 (170558)
Invested
$1.9
Value
—
PnL
-$1.9
Record
52%
90179-84671 (174850)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.3
Value
—
PnL
-$1.3
Record
63%
51816-30540 (82356)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.3
Value
—
PnL
-$1.3
Record
55%
44800-37263 (82063)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$4.89
Value
—
PnL
-$4.89
Record
62%
43761-26767 (70528)
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