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UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100UpUpDownUp
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100UpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 67%
Total Value
$38.15
Combined PnL
-$25.13
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares89
Combined PnL-$48
Down2 traders
Total Value$38.15
Total Shares38
Combined PnL+$22.87
Up — 67%Down — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 22¢ | $9.46 | — | -$9.46 | 63% 51801-30522 (82323) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 58.5¢ | $18.12 | — | -$18.12 | 64% 22926-12644 (35570) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 42¢ | $12.9 | $30.71 | +$17.81 | 65% 124927-66830 (191757) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 55.5¢ | $14.17 | — | -$14.17 | 66% 112064-58449 (170513) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 64¢ | $6.26 | — | -$6.26 | 55% 44783-37243 (82026) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 32¢ | $2.38 | $7.44 | +$5.06 | 52% 90141-84640 (174781) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$9.46
Value
—
PnL
-$9.46
Record
63%
51801-30522 (82323)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$18.12
Value
—
PnL
-$18.12
Record
64%
22926-12644 (35570)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$12.9
Value
$30.71
PnL
+$17.81
Record
65%
124927-66830 (191757)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$14.17
Value
—
PnL
-$14.17
Record
66%
112064-58449 (170513)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$6.26
Value
—
PnL
-$6.26
Record
55%
44783-37243 (82026)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$2.38
Value
$7.44
PnL
+$5.06
Record
52%
90141-84640 (174781)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x79de8cf5...96df3b
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793341200