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UpandDownSyndrome<$100DownUpUp
MayorMamdani<$100DownDown
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$93.61
Combined PnL
-$0.45
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$93.61
Total Shares94
Combined PnL+$57.36
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares91
Combined PnL-$57.81
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 12.9¢ | $7.15 | $33.61 | +$26.46 | 63% 51801-30522 (82323) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 42.1¢ | $27.68 | — | -$27.68 | 64% 22926-12644 (35570) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 49.5¢ | $30.13 | — | -$30.13 | 66% 112064-58449 (170513) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 43¢ | $12.9 | $30 | +$17.1 | 55% 44783-37243 (82026) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 54¢ | $16.2 | $30 | +$13.8 | 65% 124927-66830 (191757) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$7.15
Value
$33.61
PnL
+$26.46
Record
63%
51801-30522 (82323)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$27.68
Value
—
PnL
-$27.68
Record
64%
22926-12644 (35570)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$30.13
Value
—
PnL
-$30.13
Record
66%
112064-58449 (170513)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$12.9
Value
$30
PnL
+$17.1
Record
55%
44783-37243 (82026)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$16.2
Value
$30
PnL
+$13.8
Record
65%
124927-66830 (191757)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xdd8925f3...6de725
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793340000