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Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was Down β€” but Up won instead.

XRP Up or Down - October 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

7

Down 57%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$114.31

Combined PnL

-$41.16

Smart Money Signal

Down

4 of 7 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up3 traders
Total Value$64.92
Total Shares65
Combined PnL-$9.09
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares65
Combined PnL-$32.07
Up β€” 43%Down β€” 57%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xca6f3432...82518f
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793328900
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