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Up
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Down
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100DownDownDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 83%
Total Value
$53.27
Combined PnL
$3.43
Smart Money Signal
Down
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up1 trader
Total Value$53.27
Total Shares53
Combined PnL+$7.27
Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares47
Combined PnL-$3.84
Up — 17%Down — 83%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 86.3¢ | $46 | $53.27 | +$7.27 | 64% 22780-12562 (35342) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 6¢ | $1.01 | — | -$1.01 | 63% 51732-30464 (82196) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 4¢ | $0.4 | — | -$0.4 | 55% 44709-37178 (81887) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 17¢ | $1.33 | — | -$1.33 | 52% 90065-84555 (174620) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 14¢ | $1.05 | — | -$1.05 | 61% 94646-59611 (154257) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 112022-58386 (170408) |
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$46
Value
$53.27
PnL
+$7.27
Record
64%
22780-12562 (35342)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.01
Value
—
PnL
-$1.01
Record
63%
51732-30464 (82196)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.4
Value
—
PnL
-$0.4
Record
55%
44709-37178 (81887)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.33
Value
—
PnL
-$1.33
Record
52%
90065-84555 (174620)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$1.05
Value
—
PnL
-$1.05
Record
61%
94646-59611 (154257)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
112022-58386 (170408)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xadcf4e8e...9808be
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793323500