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MayorMamdaniCTR<$100DownDownDownUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$15.36
Combined PnL
-$9.71
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares34
Combined PnL-$13.39
Up2 traders
Total Value$15.36
Total Shares15
Combined PnL+$3.68
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 13¢ | $1.73 | — | -$1.73 | 55% 44682-37145 (81827) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $5.7 | — | -$5.7 | 56% 57878-44713 (102591) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 60¢ | $5.96 | — | -$5.96 | 66% 112010-58363 (170373) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $8.82 | $9 | +$0.18 | 61% 94613-59581 (154194) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 45¢ | $2.86 | $6.36 | +$3.5 | 64% 22724-12523 (35247) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.73
Value
—
PnL
-$1.73
Record
55%
44682-37145 (81827)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100Invested
$5.7
Value
—
PnL
-$5.7
Record
56%
57878-44713 (102591)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$5.96
Value
—
PnL
-$5.96
Record
66%
112010-58363 (170373)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$8.82
Value
$9
PnL
+$0.18
Record
61%
94613-59581 (154194)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$2.86
Value
$6.36
PnL
+$3.5
Record
64%
22724-12523 (35247)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xfea6e44d...33a462
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793322600