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DownUp
MayorMamdani<$100DownDown
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Down
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$35.58
Combined PnL
$11.05
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$35.58
Total Shares36
Combined PnL+$15.85
Up1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares10
Combined PnL-$4.8
Down — 80%Up — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $6.25 | $13.3 | +$7.05 | 56% 57878-44713 (102591) |
0D 0x0d2d...7ff5CTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $4.8 | — | -$4.8 | — |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 42¢ | $3.78 | $9 | +$5.22 | 55% 44682-37145 (81827) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 59¢ | $4.3 | $7.28 | +$2.98 | 66% 112010-58363 (170373) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $5.4 | $6 | +$0.6 | 63% 51715-30440 (82155) |
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100Invested
$6.25
Value
$13.3
PnL
+$7.05
Record
56%
57878-44713 (102591)
0D
0x0d2d...7ff5CTR<$100Invested
$4.8
Value
—
PnL
-$4.8
Record
—
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$3.78
Value
$9
PnL
+$5.22
Record
55%
44682-37145 (81827)
AN
antsaslyku<$100Invested
$4.3
Value
$7.28
PnL
+$2.98
Record
66%
112010-58363 (170373)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$5.4
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.6
Record
63%
51715-30440 (82155)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xddda74ec...05fbc6
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793322300